A new HarrisX poll indicates that former President Donald Trump would defeat both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in hypothetical 2024 general election matchups. This poll, which surveyed 1,500 registered voters between June 28 and June 30, 2024, highlights the challenges facing the Democratic Party as it considers its strategy for the upcoming presidential election.
According to the poll, Trump leads Harris by seven percentage points and Biden by four percentage points. Specifically, Trump would garner 49% of the vote against Harris’ 42%, and 47% of the vote against Biden’s 43%. The poll has a margin of error of ± 2.5 percentage points.
The timing of the poll follows a widely criticized debate performance by Biden, which has fueled speculation about his ability to continue as the Democratic nominee. Some Democrats are contemplating the possibility of replacing Biden with Harris, but the poll results suggest that this might not improve their electoral prospects.
In his article on his substack, filmmaker Michael Moore expressed concern about Biden’s recent performance, describing it as an “utter collapse” and urging the President to step down. Moore criticized the Democratic Party for subjecting Biden to what he called “elder abuse,” emphasizing the need for Biden to retire for his health and the party’s success.
Moore’s call for Biden to resign underscores the urgency within the Democratic Party to address Biden’s perceived vulnerabilities. However, the HarrisX poll indicates that Harris, despite being considered a potential replacement, might not fare any better against Trump.
The poll also reveals that in a three-way race including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump would still lead with 43% of the vote, followed by Harris at 38% and Kennedy at 16%. This scenario suggests that even with alternative candidates, Trump’s support remains robust.
As the Democratic Party grapples with these poll results and the ongoing debate over its 2024 strategy, it faces significant challenges in rallying behind a candidate who can effectively compete against Trump. The upcoming months will be crucial as the party decides whether to stick with Biden, transition to Harris, or consider other potential candidates to secure a victory in the next presidential election.
