Illegal Migrants Outside Detention Linked To High Homicide Rates

A report based on data from the U.S. Department of Justice reveals illegal migrants on the Non-Detained Docket (NDD) have a homicide rate 13 times higher than the national average. Authored by Dr. John R. Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center, the analysis highlights significant financial and societal costs tied to crimes committed by this group.

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) informed Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) in July 2024 that 662,566 illegal migrants with criminal histories were on the NDD, which allows individuals to remain in the country while awaiting legal proceedings. Among them, 435,719 have convictions in their home countries, while 226,847 face pending criminal charges.

The FBI’s 2023 data shows 14,944 homicides were committed by individuals on the docket. Other crimes included 20,061 sexual assaults, 105,146 assaults, and 60,268 incidents of burglary, larceny, or robbery. Traffic-related offenses accounted for 126,343 violations.

The financial cost of these crimes is staggering, with Lott estimating a total burden of $166.5 billion. Homicides alone represent $153.8 billion of that amount. Lott noted these figures are likely conservative, as the calculations assume each individual commits only one crime.

Lott also pointed out the report’s limitations, stating that only half of the migrants on the NDD are accounted for in the data. This means the actual costs and crime rates could be even higher.

The report has raised concerns about policies that allow individuals with criminal records to remain in the country under the NDD system.

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